S8 Ep161: War Gaming a Russian Invasion of Estonia: NATO's Article 5 Crisis — General Blaine Holt — General Holtdiscusses a scenario derived from Carlo Masala's book If Russia Wins, depicting Russian

War Gaming a Russian Invasion of Estonia: NATO's Article 5 Crisis — General Blaine Holt — General Holtdiscusses a scenario derived from Carlo Masala's book If Russia Wins, depicting Russian military seizure of the Estonian town of Narva in 2028 using ambiguous hybrid tactics. Holt emphasizes that this scenario exposes NATO'sfundamental bureaucratic paralysis, organizational hesitation to invoke Article 5 collective defense provisions, and the catastrophic risk of nuclear miscalculation when confronting strategically ambiguous Russian aggression that blurs the distinction between conventional military action and state-sponsored covert operations. 1927 POLAND