“$300 Fermi Model Competition” by Ozzie Gooen

Summary Task: Make an interesting and informative Fermi estimate Prize: $300 for the top entry Deadline: February 16th, 2025 Results Announcement: By March 1st, 2025 Judges: Claude 3.5 Sonnet, the QURI team Motivation LLMs have recently made it significantly easier to make Fermi estimates. You can chat with most LLMs directly, or you can use custom tools like Squiggle AI. And yet, overall, few people have taken much advantage of this. Today we’re launching a competition to encourage exploration. What We’re Looking For Our goal is to discover creative ways to use AI for Fermi estimation. We're more excited about novel approaches than exhaustively researched calculations. Rather than spending hours gathering statistics or building complex spreadsheets, we encourage you to: Let AI do most of the heavy lifting Try unconventional estimation techniques Experiment with multiple approaches to find surprising insights The ideal submission might be as simple as [...] ---Outline:(00:04) Summary(00:31) Motivation(00:54) What We're Looking For(01:37) Task(02:21) Submission Format(02:57) Examples(03:10) Important Notes(03:55) Support and Feedback(04:11) Appendix: Evaluation Rubric and Prompts--- First published: February 3rd, 2025 Source: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Zc5jki9nXihueDcKj/usd300-fermi-model-competition --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.